Highlights

  • Nifty and major indices have dropped by over 9%.
  • Jefferies marks the biggest earnings downgrade since 2020.
  • JEI indicator shows a YoY growth of 4.3% in September.
  • Private sector banks shine due to RBI rate cut expectations.

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What's Behind India's Stock Market Correction? Jefferies' View Explained

India’s stock market corrected by 9%, marking the biggest earnings downgrade since early 2020, says Jefferies. Chris Wood sees this as healthy for the market, benefiting sectors like private banking due to rate cut expectations.

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      The Indian stock market has seen a correction in recent days. Jefferies' Christopher Wood in his latest Greed & Fear report has called it a healthy correction. Let's understand what he means.

      The Nifty is down over 9% from its peak, while the Nifty MidCap and Small Cap indices are down over 10% since late September.

      Wood says this correction aligns with the Q2 earnings season, where we’ve seen the biggest downgrades since early 2020. A staggering 63% of Indian companies under Jefferies’ coverage have had their FY25 earnings estimates cut.

      However, the market expert said he views the recent stock market correction as healthy, as it has impacted the most expensive part of the market, while affordable private banks have started outperforming, fueled by hopes of a CRR cut from the RBI.

      The Jefferies Economic Indicator, which tracks the Indian economy based on 35 data points, rose by 4.3% YoY in September. However, it remains slightly below the average of this year, suggesting a mixed economic performance.

      Jefferies also highlighted strong inflows into domestic equity mutual funds. This demand has helped counter the increasing supply of equities as companies capitalize on high valuations.

      So, a market reset or just a healthy correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to follow Business Hook for more insights on India’s market moves!

      Jefferies

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