Prashant Kishor's latest prediction: 'guesswork, no one knows who will win'

In an interview with RTV Andhra Pradesh, political strategist Prashant Kishor predicted a "massive advantage" for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, though he asserted the BJP could "never win 400 seats."

Amid the ongoing intense battle between the NDA candidates and INDIA alliance candidates, Kishor suggested that for the BJP to lose power at the Centre, they would need to lose 100 seats in North and West India and fail to gain any in the East and South.

Explaining numbers and concept Kishor highlighted that the BJP has the most numbers of seats in North and West India, however, the party would not feel a huge dent from East and South states---ie, Bihar, West Bengal, Assam, Odisha, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerala as the saffron party has less than 50 seats out of 240 Lok Sabha seats.

Further, Kishor explained that the BJP's current strength lies in its 260-270 seats from the North and West and that they could not lose power unless they faced a significant defeat in these regions.

He emphasised that it was all “guesswork” and doubted a significant decline in NDA and BJP numbers.

He also noted that the BJP's vote share and seats are rising in the East and South, making a loss of 100 seats unlikely.

Kishor concluded that even potential setbacks in Rajasthan and Maharashtra would be offset by gains elsewhere.

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