Highlights

  • Indian rupee to drop further to 84.50/USD by year-end -poll

  • The estimates in the poll ranged between 83.25 and 86

  • Rupee falls past 83 per dollar for first time

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Rupee to nosedive to 84.50 against dollar by this year end?

India reported an average monthly trade deficit of $23.2 billion for the first nine months of this year, compared to an average of $15.3 billion in 2021

Rupee to nosedive to 84.50 against dollar by this year end?

The Indian rupee will fall further against the U.S. dollar over the rest of the year, a Reuters poll showed, setting up the currency for its steepest annual decline in at least nine years due to a widening domestic trade balance and surging U.S. interest rates.

The rupee slipped to a record low of 83.2 on Thursday. It is likely to fall further to 84.50 by December, according to the mean and median forecasts of a poll of 14 bankers and foreign exchange advisors.

The South Asian currency has already tumbled about 12% so far this year, equalling its drop over the whole of 2013, when the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to slow bond purchases prompted a broad selloff in emerging market currencies.

The Fed's hikes have led to a near 18% jump in the dollar index this year and has prompted investor to pull out capital from emerging market assets.

Frequently Asked Questions

It is forecast to fall to 84.50 against the U.S. dollar by December of this year.

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