When will Covid fourth wave strike India? IIT-Kanpur experts have given a date

Even as India is returning to some normalcy after the ebbing of third wave of Covid-19, a study by IIT-Kanpur experts has warned that the fourth wave of the pandemic may start in June.

The study used a statistical model to make the prediction. The finding shows that the next surge is to persist for approximately four months.

According to the study, the fourth wave may start around June 22 and peak from mid to late August.

However, the researchers noted that the severity will rely on the nature of the variant and the Covid vaccination status across India.

The study was led by Sabara Parshad Rajeshbhai, Subhra Sankar Dhar, and Shalabh of IIT Kanpur's Department of Mathematics and Statistics.

The same research team had previously predicted that the third wave of the pandemic in India would peak by February 3, 2022.

Officials at the World Health Organization recently warned that Omicron may not be the last Covid variant and the next strain could be more contagious.