In recent days, global stock markets have experienced significant volatility due to multiple factors, including the Israel-Hamas conflict and concerns about the repercussions of an escalation. These events have led to panic selling across markets worldwide, impacting both global and Indian equity markets. Stubbornly high US bond yields have also added to the market's woes. With geopolitical tensions continuing and the possibility of prolonged volatility, investors are left wondering about the best course of action in such uncertain times.
In this week's episode of Invest Smart, Chethan Shenoy of Anand Rathi Wealth sheds light on the situation, offering valuable insights. Shenoy emphasizes the cyclical nature of markets, highlighting that the recent correction, while significant, is not unexpected. He points out that markets had reached a peak in mid-September, followed by a gradual decline, ultimately leading to a 6.5-7% correction from the peak levels.
One of the key factors contributing to the market volatility is the situation in the United States. The US bond yields have remained high at around 5%, compelling investors to divert their funds towards US bonds. Additionally, the conflict in Gaza has escalated, impacting oil prices and raising concerns about geopolitical stability in the region.
Despite these challenges, Shenoy urges investors not to panic. He emphasizes that India's economic fundamentals remain strong, and the country is poised to be the fastest-growing economy globally. Indian corporate earnings have also shown resilience, and various positive factors, including political stability and robust economic reforms, continue to support the market.
For those considering entering the market, Shenoy advises allocating funds strategically over the next month, taking advantage of the current market dip. Additionally, he emphasizes the importance of rebalancing portfolios, especially for those with exposure to small and mid-cap stocks. Rebalancing allows investors to align their portfolios with their long-term goals and risk tolerance.
Regarding lump-sum investments, Shenoy indicates that investors with a horizon of three years or more could consider deploying their entire investment at this point. However, for those seeking a cautious approach, staggering investments over the next month could be a prudent strategy.
While market volatility prevails, informed and strategic decisions can help investors navigate these uncertain times. Shenoy's insights provide a valuable perspective, reminding investors of the cyclical nature of markets and the importance of a balanced and patient approach in these challenging times.